Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225690           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000769692          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.79000e-07           9          43          40           8           0        B9.8
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             9.25       46.00       37.75        7.00        0.00     B8.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)