Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225829           5          39          47           9           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000772099          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.68000e-07          12          54          28           6           0        B7.1
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             9.75       47.75       35.50        7.00        0.00     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      B5.6