Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227768           3          33          54          10           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000815130          10          42          41           7           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   1.99000e-07           3          46          45           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             5.50       41.25       45.75        7.25        0.25     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B3.7