Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222784           5          47          40           8           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000708623          27          48          22           3           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.68000e-08          15          68          16           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            16.00       56.50       23.75        3.75        0.00     B4.3
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6