Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223394           5          51          38           6           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000709919          29          46          22           3           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.61000e-08          17          67          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            22.00       52.50       22.50        3.00        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)