Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223636           6          48          41           5           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000713159          28          46          21           5           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   8.57000e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            14.25       55.00       26.75        4.00        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7