Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225321           6          43          44           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000739076          24          40          29           7           0        B4.2
GOES Xray  =   7.49000e-08          11          67          20           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            22.75       47.75       25.50        4.00        0.00     B3.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)