Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224148           5          50          40           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000722476          30          48          17           5           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.84000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            24.75       51.75       20.75        2.75        0.00     B3.3
 
realized                                                                                      B2.5