Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222315           7          46          41           6           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000711407          28          47          21           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.80000e-08          13          68          18           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            16.00       56.50       24.00        3.50        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)