Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222171           6          47          39           8           0        B8.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000723872          30          46          19           5           0        B3.0
GOES Xray  =   8.47000e-08           6          62          29           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.25       48.75       24.00        4.00        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9