Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221365           6          42          43           9           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000706038          27          49          21           3           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.22000e-08           6          66          25           3           0        B4.0
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            13.75       55.50       26.25        4.50        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B6.1