Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221325           7          40          43          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000716921          26          48          22           4           0        B3.5
GOES Xray  =   7.53000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            15.25       54.75       25.25        4.75        0.00     B4.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)