Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221282           6          40          44          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000714703          26          48          22           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.66000e-08          17          66          16           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            16.75       54.50       24.50        4.25        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.9