Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221461           6          42          43           9           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000715888          27          45          24           4           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   6.45000e-08          17          68          14           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            25.25       48.75       22.50        3.50        0.00     B2.9
 
realized                                                                                      B1.2