Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222064           6          49          39           6           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000718684          28          47          21           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   9.87000e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.00       49.00       24.50        3.50        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)