Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222112           6          49          38           7           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000717294          27          48          21           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.01000e-07           7          60          29           4           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            22.50       49.50       24.25        3.75        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      B2.5