Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222888           5          50          38           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000741450          22          42          29           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   1.07000e-07           7          59          31           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                            10.00       51.25       32.00        6.75        0.00     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8