Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222829           4          49          40           7           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000741311          22          42          29           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   1.11000e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            10.25       50.25       34.50        5.00        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2