Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221165           7          44          40           9           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000702686          25          52          20           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   6.76000e-08          14          68          17           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            16.00       55.75       24.25        4.00        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7