Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221087           7          44          40           9           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000699741          24          54          19           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   7.07000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.75       51.75       21.25        3.25        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)