Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221169           6          44          41           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000702084          25          52          20           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   6.96000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.75       51.25       21.75        3.25        0.00     B3.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)