Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221303           6          40          44          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000706215          27          49          21           3           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   6.48000e-08          18          67          14           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            25.50       49.00       22.00        3.50        0.00     B2.9
 
realized                                                                                      B2.4