Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212452          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000670370          27          59          12           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   5.98000e-08          24          63          12           1           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =             4          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            34.50       54.75        9.75        1.00        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)