Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212231          36          59           4           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000662652          29          61           9           1           0        B1.9
GOES Xray  =   5.50000e-08          33          59           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            37.25       54.75        7.50        0.50        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4