Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212721          35          58           6           1           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000671720          28          58          12           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   7.82000e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            30.75       56.00       11.75        1.50        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B5.0