Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212564          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000669893          26          61          11           2           0        B2.1
GOES Xray  =   7.55000e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            22.00       61.25       14.75        2.00        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B2.1