Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212633          35          58           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000672462          28          58          12           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   6.57000e-08          18          67          14           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            24.50       61.50       12.25        1.75        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)