Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213044          34          58           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000687528          24          53          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.99000e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            20.75       58.00       18.75        2.50        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3