Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213451          38          53           7           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000698501          24          52          20           4           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   9.03000e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                            18.50       54.25       21.50        5.75        0.00     B3.9
 
realized                                                                                      B5.3