Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214400          34          49          14           3           0        B2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000712184          29          45          21           5           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.34000e-07           7          62          30           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =            45           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                            18.50       45.25       31.50        4.00        0.75     B5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C9.3