Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214039          33          50          14           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000705051          25          51          21           3           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   9.80000e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                            18.00       53.25       23.75        5.00        0.00     B4.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)