Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214075          33          50          14           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000703052          25          52          20           3           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.05000e-07           7          56          34           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            18.00       53.25       25.00        3.75        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B5.2