Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214543          33          49          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000686612          23          54          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.12000e-08           6          70          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            18.75       57.50       20.50        3.25        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)