Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215244          31          51          16           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000686549          23          54          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.02000e-08           8          67          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            17.50       56.75       22.00        3.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)