Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215125          30          52          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000681618          26          55          16           3           0        B2.6
GOES Xray  =   8.05000e-08           8          67          22           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            25.25       55.00       17.00        2.75        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)