Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215048          33          49          15           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000677774          27          56          14           3           0        B2.3
GOES Xray  =   7.95000e-08           8          68          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            29.75       53.25       14.75        2.25        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5