Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214918          35          47          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000675499          29          55          13           3           0        B2.1
GOES Xray  =   5.77000e-08          28          63           9           0           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            30.25       54.00       13.75        2.00        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3