Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215072          32          50          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000682800          26          54          16           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.80000e-08          13          68          18           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            25.00       55.75       16.75        2.50        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.8