Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215042          33          49          15           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000683742          25          55          16           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.76000e-08          29          62           9           0           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            29.00       54.25       14.50        2.25        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)