Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215079          31          51          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000686761          23          54          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   5.54000e-08          32          60           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            34.00       51.50       12.75        1.75        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)