Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216457          30          51          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000716649          27          47          22           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.16000e-07           7          59          32           2           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            21.00       54.75       22.25        2.00        0.00     B3.8
 
realized                                                                                      B3.0