Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213896          35          50          13           2           0        B2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000671699          28          58          12           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   6.65000e-08          17          66          16           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.75       53.50       12.50        1.25        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5