Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213315          35          54           9           2           0        B1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000657332          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.73000e-08          52          43           4           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            43.25       48.50        7.25        1.00        0.00     B1.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)