Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213356          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000666011          29          60           9           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   5.13000e-08          39          53           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            38.75       51.75        8.25        1.25        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)