Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215373          33          49          16           2           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000699739          24          54          19           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.12000e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                            17.75       53.25       25.50        3.50        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B6.5