Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227932           3          32          56           9           0        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852730           7          49          38           6           0        B8.5
GOES Xray  =   9.24000e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             3.25       25.25       50.25       18.75        2.50     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      M5.8