Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214947          35          47          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000708445          27          48          22           3           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.09000e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            30.00       47.75       20.25        2.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0