Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215002          34          48          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000724817          29          47          19           5           0        B3.0
GOES Xray  =   1.26000e-07           7          62          31           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            24.75       52.00       20.75        2.50        0.00     B3.4
 
realized                                                                                      B7.2