Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215073          32          50          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000727618          28          48          19           5           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   9.94000e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            18.50       53.25       23.75        4.50        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B7.2