Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214498          33          49          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000709529          28          47          22           3           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   9.52000e-08           5          62          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            20.50       55.75       20.50        3.25        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)